Peter Cotton

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Peter Cotton

ORCID more info

No associated ORCID account.

GitHub more info

https://github.com/microprediction

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Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Pandemic package

Peter Cotton | Published Friday, April 24, 2020 | Last modified Friday, May 08, 2020

Pandemic (pip install pandemic)

An agent model in which commuting, compliance, testing and contagion parameters drive infection in a population of thousands of millions. Agents follow Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes in the plane and collisions drive transmission. Results are stored at SwarmPrediction.com for further analysis, and can be retrieved by anyone.

This is a very simple simulation that in a special case can be shown to be approximated by a compartmental model with time varying infection rate.

Under development.

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